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Will Strategic Analytics Define Dubai Industrial Growth?

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Business news and monetary news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the area projected to outperform its 2025 performance in spite of muted oil earnings and ongoing global uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research briefing, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, reflecting a resistant nonenergy sector, strong customer characteristics, and gradually enhancing oil output.

The most current forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to gain back momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic need and a broadly stable global backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a major driver of the region's financial efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine disposable incomes are expected to sustain a surge in consumer costs throughout the Gulf.

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Credit development is likewise anticipated to remain elevated as access to financial services widens. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow awaited United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decline, providing homes and companies even more inspiration to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a blended picture.

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This could weigh on firsthalf growth, especially for economies more depending on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and global need improves. Qatar, on the other hand, stands apart as a regional outperformer, with substantial expansions in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its overall economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan expects a 6 percent cut in capital expense as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by two portion points. However, the report keeps in mind that these cuts may not materialise completely if countercyclical spending steps are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement programs.

Regardless of shortterm threats tied to oil rates and global demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: resilient customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and strategic fiscal planning. With these elements aligning, the area is preparing for among its most balanced periods of expansion in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly consistent global economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

We expect GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that financial growth in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Non-oil activities represented 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued development toward diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their international peers. Oxford Economics stated that low inflation has helped secure development in genuine non reusable earnings, which has likewise been supported by strong demand and really low joblessness rates."We do not envision any let-up, as federal governments continue to push for higher foreign direct financial investment in their push to diversify their economies away from oil and gas," the report added.

In December, the IMF further said that heading inflation is expected to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to stay elevated in the GCC region during 2026, as access to financial services is anticipated to grow and financing is predicted to be supported by additional cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by reducing financial policy further, which in turn will lower financial obligation servicing costs and boost non reusable income and demand," stated the report.

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