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To reverse a decade of deteriorating total factor productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from simple task production to handling active workforce transitions. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as firms incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil revenue structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is strengthening financial resilience through more safe trade and investment relationships, efficient AI implementation, managed workforce transitions and disciplined financial policy in a more difficult and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the newest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outperform most worldwide regions peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil earnings will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate further investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil prices, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services stay essential growth motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching ongoing investment in infrastructure, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has been available in structure varied, resilient and worldwide competitive economies.
Key Benefits of Industrial Excellence for DubaiScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining pace, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Key Benefits of Industrial Excellence for DubaiWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is real, however rather a fundamental shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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