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Organization news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and stats covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Economic development throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region predicted to outshine its 2025 efficiency regardless of soft oil incomes and ongoing international unpredictabilities. According to a new Oxford Economics research briefing, GCC GDP growth is expected to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong consumer characteristics, and gradually improving oil output.

But the current projections recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic need and a broadly stable international backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a significant driver of the area's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable incomes are expected to sustain a surge in consumer spending across the Gulf.

Credit development is also anticipated to stay elevated as access to monetary services expands. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow awaited US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining expenses are most likely to decrease, providing households and businesses further impetus to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a combined photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more based on oil extraction. Nevertheless, Oxford Economics projects a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and international demand improves. Qatar, meanwhile, stands out as a regional outperformer, with substantial growths in gas production and exports expected to raise its total economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan expects a 6 percent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom intends to narrow its fiscal deficit by 2 portion points. The report notes that these cuts may not materialise totally if countercyclical spending steps are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement agendas.

Regardless of shortterm threats tied to oil costs and worldwide demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in principles: resistant customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and tactical financial preparation. With these elements lining up, the region is preparing for among its most well balanced durations of expansion over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to stay resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly stable worldwide economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gross domestic product of the GCC region is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

United States trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no significant effect on regional growth, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It added: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually slowly increased, supplying a boost to the area's economies. We anticipate GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic growth in the area is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued progress toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are anticipated to outperform their international peers.

In December, the IMF even more stated that heading inflation is anticipated to remain listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to remain raised in the GCC area throughout 2026, as access to monetary services is anticipated to grow and financing is forecasted to be supported by further cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy further, which in turn will lower financial obligation maintenance expenses and increase disposable earnings and demand," stated the report.