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The Operational Benefits of Deep Market Research

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Service news and monetary news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Financial growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region forecasted to outperform its 2025 efficiency despite muted oil revenues and ongoing international uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research briefing, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to rise to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resistant nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and slowly enhancing oil output.

The latest forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly consistent international background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a major chauffeur of the area's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real non reusable earnings are anticipated to fuel a rise in customer spending across the Gulf.

Credit development is likewise forecast to stay raised as access to financial services expands. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow awaited US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining expenses are likely to decline, offering households and businesses further incentive to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a blended photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more depending on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics projects a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as stocks tighten up and worldwide need improves. Qatar, meanwhile, stands apart as a regional outperformer, with considerable expansions in gas production and exports expected to lift its total financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 spending plan expects a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom aims to narrow its fiscal deficit by two percentage points. The report notes that these cuts may not materialise completely if countercyclical costs measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development programs.

In spite of shortterm dangers tied to oil prices and international demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: durable customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and tactical fiscal planning. With these elements aligning, the area is getting ready for one of its most well balanced durations of expansion in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to stay durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly steady global economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gross domestic item of the GCC area is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the projected 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has actually had no noteworthy influence on local growth, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It included: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually gradually increased, providing a boost to the area's economies. We anticipate GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that economic growth in the area is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's continued development towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to outshine their global peers.

In December, the IMF further said that heading inflation is expected to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is expected to remain raised in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and financing is projected to be supported by further cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC main banks are anticipated to follow the United States Federal Reserve by alleviating financial policy further, which in turn will lower financial obligation maintenance expenses and increase non reusable income and need," stated the report.