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To reverse a decade of compromising overall element efficiency, regional labour market policy is moving from easy task production to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as firms integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the priority is enhancing financial durability through more protected trade and investment relationships, effective AI release, handled workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the newest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outperform most global regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil earnings will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, including relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to promote additional financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services stay essential growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to choose up again in the second half of 2026, matching ongoing investment in infrastructure, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has come in building varied, durable and worldwide competitive economies.
Reviewing 2026 GCC Research for Strategic InsightsScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economic Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining pace, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and continual diversification efforts.
Reviewing 2026 GCC Research for Strategic InsightsWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological modification, though that velocity is real, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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