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To reverse a decade of damaging total factor productivity, local labour market policy is moving from basic job development to managing active labor force transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more common as companies incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the concern is enhancing economic resilience through more safe and secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI release, handled labor force shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more tough and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic demand and renewed investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, including relieved foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote further financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services remain key growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, technology and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has been available in building varied, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and continual diversity efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that velocity is genuine, but rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide organization results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the expansion and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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